Hamburg vs FSV Mainz 05
Hamburg lost their lead
Their 2-0 victory over Bremen in the northern German derby gave Hamburg confidence for their league game away in Augsburg. After a very equal first half, in which playmaker Rafael van der Vaart scored the leading goal, Augsburg turned the game around in the second half scoring three goals within 20 minutes. Halil Altintop scored the equaliser only 5 minutes after the break. Augsburg completely dominated the game and went on to take the lead through Raul Bobadilla only 7 minutes later. In the 70th minute Augsburg were awarded a penalty and Paul Verhaegh converted from the spot kick. Hamburg made many mistakes in their offensive play and lost 3-1 to Augsburg after a disastrous second-half performance. Defensive player Heiko Westermann was substituted in the 35th minute with an injury and will miss the club’s next games. Coach Zinnbauer had changed the starting lineup against Augsburg, and so on the bench were Holtby and Lasogga who played against Bremen. Now, there will be new rotations as those changes turned out to be mistakes. With the loss, Hamburg dropped to last place in the Bundesliga table and desperately need points against Mainz.
Mainz with five losses in a row
Mainz lost their last game 4-1 to Schalke and dropped to 10th place in the Bundesliga table. They have an unenviable record of five losses in a row and will be trying to avoid a sixth successive loss. It is true that Mainz had more ball possession and more shots on goal but couldn’t turn enough of them into goals, which seems to be a general problem for them. The defenders were not close enough to man-of-the-match Huntelaar who scored three goals and provided one assist. Swiss midfielder Tranquillo Barnetta has also played an influential role and scored one goal. Hjulmand’s side is now ready to pick all the three points against Hamburg. Last season, both games were hard-fought and Mainz left the pitch as winners with two narrow 3-2 victories. Mainz have no injured players and can field a full squad.
Odds and tips
Hamburg will play at home and are considered to be the favourites with odds between 2.00 and 2.12. Mainz have higher odds between 3.40 and 3.85. If both teams are almost equal as it was the case last season, a draw is likely with odds between 3.25 and 3.60. Our tip: Hamburg want to show a good performance in their own stadium and Mainz have a record of five losses in a row. For that reason we expect Hamburg to win this game. Zinnbauer will prepare his side for the game and win the game with maximum odds of 2.12.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen
Schaaf faces his former side
After four successive losses, Frankfurt were back on track with two impressive victories. Two weeks ago, Schaaf’s side celebrated a 3-1 win against Europa League participants Borussia Moenchengladbach. This success was followed by a 2-0 victory over Champions League Group D leaders Borussia Dortmund. In the game against Dortmund, Frankfurt took the lead after only 5 minutes when Meier converted a pass from Russ and scored his 8th goal of the season. Dortmund dominated the game and had several goal-scoring opportunities but Frankfurt’s goalkeeper Wiedwald had a great day with some amazing saves. After a ball loss in the defense, striker Seferovic took advantage of the situation and scored the 2-0. With two victories in the last two games, Frankfurt climbed to 9th place. Frankfurt will face Bremen in their next game. Schaaf is now coach of Eintracht Frankfurt having taken a year out of the game. He had previously spent 14 years on the Bremen bench and will welcome his former club to the Waldstadion this weekend. Last season, Frankfurt won the first game 3-0 and the second game was a scoreless draw.
Werder with a great performance against Paderborn
Bremen are on an upward trend and want to pick all the three points against Frankfurt. Skripnik’s side suffered a 2-0 loss to Hamburg after three successive wins. Last weekend, Bremen played at home against the newly-promoted team from Paderborn and celebrated a 4-0 victory. They showed a great performance and had the game under control for almost 90 minutes. Bremen took the lead after 10 minutes when Zlatko Junuzovic scored. Bremen completely dominated the second half and scored three more goals. With the victory, Bremen climbed to 14th place and left the drop zone. However, they are not safe yet and need more points to secure their place in the Bundesliga next season. Coach Skripnik will miss defender Galvez who picked up his fifth yellow card of the season against Paderborn.
Odds and tips
With two wins in the last two games, Frankfurt are considered to be the favourites to win also at home against Bremen with odds between 1.90 and 2.05. Bremen showed a strong performance in their recent games and an away win will pay out odds between 3.40 and 3.90. The odds for a draw vary from 3.50 to 3.85. Our tip: In spite of Bremen’s victory over Paderborn, we expect Frankfurt to win on home ground. Frankfurt also showed a great performance against Gladbach and Dortmund and for that reason we think that Schaaf’s new side will celebrate a victory over his former side with maximum odds of 2.05.