The 2018 World Cup qualification is in full swing as Germany travel to Azerbaijan on Sunday during the March 20 – 28 FIFA International Break. The friendly against England in Dortmund was an international farewell for long-serving forward Lukas Podolski, who has made 130 appearances for the German national team. Germany currently sit in first place and have won all of their four games in convincing fashion, which makes a handicap bet an interesting option for bettors.
Azerbaijan with a clear 4-0 loss to Northern Ireland – outsiders in the betting tip
Azerbaijan have been fortuitous in earning their points, a narrow 1-0 win over minions San Marino, a 1-0 home victory against Norway in a match in which they had just one-third ball possession, and a scoreless draw against Czech Republic. The team of Coach Robert Prosinecki were brought back down to earth with a thud as they lost 4-0 to Northern Ireland in their last qualifying game and now find themselves in third place with 7 points from 4 matches and a goal difference of 2:4. Azerbaijan are the rank outsiders against World Cup winners Germany but will do everything to show a good performance and spring a surprise. Their head-to-head record is anything but promising as they lost their last four encounters against the Germans with at least a two goals margin and allowed a total of 15 goals. Azerbaijan have a much lower squad value of £10.63m and the team’s most valuable player is central midfielder Richard with £1.28m. We don’t think that Azerbaijan are a serious threat for the Germans in the qualification and recommend bettors to place a handicap bet.
Germany are enjoying a great qualifying campaign and will be the favourites in the betting tip
Germany are the current World Champions and as such are among the favourites to win the 2018 World Cup. The team of head coach Joachim Loew is dominating their group C in style with four wins in four matches and an impressive goal difference of 16:0. Loew’s men can boast the best defence and the second-best offence of all participating teams in the UEFA zone. They are far better in the comparison of squad values with a total market value of £491.30m. Thomas Mueller and Toni Kroos are Germany’s most valuable players with £51.00m each. Germany will be without Lukas Podolski has announced his retirement from international football. The 31-year old striker made his 130th and final appearance against England in Dortmund where he scored his 49th international goal. Germany have a promising head-to-head record against their next opponents as they defeated them four times in a row with a goal difference of 15:2. Germany won all of their four encounters with at least a two-goals margin and therefore anything but another clear victory over Azerbaijan would be a big surprise.
Betting tip for Azerbaijan versus Germany
Germany are current World Champions and undisputed leaders of the UEFA Group C and will be the clear favourites to win the game. A handicap bet is highly recommended and if Germany win with at least a two-goals margin the bookmakers will pay out odds between 1.30 and 1.40. If Germany win with at least a one-goal margin, the odds are even more profitable ranging from 4.26 to 4.76. A draw, or an Azerbaijan home victory is not very likely and will pay out sports betting odds between 5.70 and 7.00. Our tip: Germany are the only team boasting an immaculate record of four wins in four games and a goal difference of 16:0. Moreover, Loew’s men have a significantly higher market value and they won their last four games against Azerbaijan with at least a two-goals margin. Furthermore, Azerbaijan are not in their best form as they lost their last match 4-0 against Northern Ireland. For that reason, we expect a Germany handicap win over Azerbaijan at best odds of up to 1.40.